不知不觉,比特币又创新高了!
I don't know. Bitcoin's new!
10月20日晚间,比特币现货价格突破66000美元,创出历史新高。而在北京时间的同一日,美国第一只比特币ETF终于在等待八年后正式上线,首日成交额接近10亿美元,成交额创下所有种类ETF成交额的历史第二,某种程度上为比特币交易的“洗白”提供了依据。
By the night of October 20, Bitcoin’s spot price had reached an all-time high of $66,000. On the same day in Beijing, America’s first Bitcoin ETF was finally officially launched eight years later, with a first-day deal of nearly $1 billion, the second largest in history of all types of ETF transactions, to some extent, providing the basis for a “white-cleaning” of Bitcoin transactions.
此外,在本次比特币创出历史新高之前,它已盘整约六个月,价格最低下探至28000美元。业内人士认为,比特币价格在盘整中受到支撑以及再次创出新高,受益于美元贬值和全球通胀,比特币已成为许多海外机构资金对冲通胀的避险资产,尽管比特币资产本身也具有极大的波动性。
Moreover, before this Bitcoin reached an all-time high, it had been rounded up for about six months, with a low price of $28,000. According to industry, Bitcoin prices were supported in the pantry and re-emerged, benefiting from the depreciation of the dollar and global inflation. Bitcoin has become a hedge against inflation for many overseas institutions, although Bitcoin assets themselves are highly volatile.
在连续拉升近四个月后,10月20日晚间,比特币价格创出历史新高。
After nearly four consecutive months of escalation, the price of Bitcoin reached an all-time high in the evening of 20 October.
实时盘中价格看,夜盘交易最高已突破66000美元,即一枚比特币的价格达到43万元人民币,今年以来比特币的价格涨幅已接近1.4倍。最新数据显示,比特币市值约8万亿元,约为1.25万亿美元,在全球资产排行榜中位居第六,次于亚马逊公司的1.74万亿美元。
According to real-time prices, nightboard transactions have reached a peak of $66,000, that is, 430,000 yuan in a bitcoin, and nearly 1.4 times more in bitcoin since this year. The latest data show that Bitcoins has a market value of about $8 trillion, or about $1.25 trillion, and is sixth in the global asset list, followed by $1.74 trillion in Amazon.
比特币价格创出新高的同时,以太坊等多个数字货币核心资产也受到海外资金的追捧,以太坊的价格也在10月20日晚间逼近历史新高,价格突破4000美元,这意味以太坊年内价格涨幅超过4倍,同时以太坊的流通市值也超过4700亿美元,几乎追平阿里巴巴的总市值。
At the same time that the price of
作为数字货币世界中市值最大的两个品种,比特币和以太坊一直被视为币圈的核心资产,今年以来有多个海内外机构宣布购入比特币和以太坊的资产,其中包括港股上市公司。今年3月7日晚间,美图公司在港交所发布公告称,集团于3月5日在公开市场交易中,购买了1.5万枚以太币,以及379枚比特币(BTC),这两种加密货币的总对价分别约为2210万美元和1790万美元,合计为4000万美元。
As two of the most marketable species in the digital currency world, Bitcoin and Etheria have been regarded as core assets of the currency circle, and since this year several domestic and foreign institutions have announced the purchase of Bitcoin and Etheria’s assets, including port stock listing companies. During the evening of 7 March, Meteo announced in Hong Kong that the Group had purchased 15,000 Ethers in open market transactions on 5 March, and 379 Bitcoins (BTC), with a total value of approximately $22.1 million and $17.9 million, respectively, totalling $40 million.
比特币本次突破性上涨的惊奇之处,它这轮行情累计跨度长达22个月。
The surprise of Bitcoin's breakthrough this time was a 22-month circle.
因为比特币经历了整个2020年的牛市行情,在2021年的一波急速拉升后,比特币被认为将进入收割韭菜的价格衰退阶段,从四月份开始,比特币价格似乎已高处不胜寒,随后发生了连续三个月的下跌,最低价格下探至28000美元。
Because Bitcoin experienced a whole 2020 cattle market boom, after a wave of surges in 2021, Bitcoin was thought to be entering a downward phase in the price of harvests, and since April, bitcoin prices seem to have been high and then fall for three months in a row, with the lowest price plowing to $28,000.
而在比特币下跌之后,监管部门也进一步开启了严厉的政策,在第三季度期间,中国人民银行、中央网信办、最高人民法院、最高人民检察院、工业和信息化部、公安部、市场监管总局、银保监会、证监会、国家外汇局十部门联合发布《关于进一步防范和处置虚拟货币交易炒作风险的通知》(以下简称《通知》)。
In the third quarter, the People's Bank of China, the Central Network Information Agency, the Supreme People's Court, the Supreme People's Procuratorate, the Ministry of Industry and Informationization, the Ministry of Public Security, the General Directorate of Market Supervision, the Silver Insurance Supervisory Board, the CSRC and the 10 departments of the State Foreign Exchange Agency jointly issued a circular on the further prevention and disposal of the risks involved in virtual currency transactions (hereinafter referred to as the Circular).
《通知》指出,比特币、以太币、泰达币等虚拟货币具有非货币当局发行、使用加密技术及分布式账户或类似技术、以数字化形式存在等主要特点,不具有法偿性,不应且不能作为货币在市场上流通使用;虚拟货币相关业务活动属于非法金融活动。开展法定货币与虚拟货币兑换业务、虚拟货币之间的兑换业务、作为中央对手方买卖虚拟货币、为虚拟货币交易提供信息中介和定价服务、代币发行融资以及虚拟货币衍生品交易等虚拟货币相关业务活动涉嫌非法发售代币票券、擅自公开发行证券、非法经营期货业务、非法集资等非法金融活动,一律严格禁止,坚决依法取缔。对于开展相关非法金融活动构成犯罪的,依法追究刑事责任。
The Circular states that the main features of virtual currency, such as the issuance of non-monetary authorities, the use of cryptographic and distributed accounts or similar technologies, their presence in digital form, are non-remunerative and should not and cannot be used as a currency on the market; the business activities associated with virtual currency are illegal financial activities. The conduct of legal currency and virtual currency exchange operations, the exchange of virtual currency between virtual currency, the purchase and sale of virtual currency as a central counterpart, the provision of information intermediaries and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, the financing of currency issuances and transactions related to virtual currency derivatives are all strictly prohibited and criminalized under the law.
在此背景下,中国大陆的比特币挖矿活动也几乎绝迹。数据显示,在今年7、8月份,由中国输出的比特币算力几乎跌到零,而去年9月,这个数字曾高达67%。不过,比特币挖矿活动在中国大陆的消失,实际上是挖矿业务的一次重大转移,大量的矿工的活动转向美国、俄罗斯。英国剑桥大学的数据显示,在中国大陆加大对比特币挖矿的严厉监管后,美国重新成为比特币挖矿活动的中心,份额再居全球之冠,截至8月底,约占全球比特币算力的35.4%,其次是哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯等国。
However, the disappearance of bitcoin mining in mainland China is actually a major shift in mining operations, with large numbers of miners moving to the US and Russia. The data from Cambridge University in the United Kingdom show that, after intensive regulation of bitcoin mining in mainland China, the United States re-established as the centre of Bitcoin mining activities, with a further share in the world’s crown, at the end of August, accounting for about 35.4% of the world’s Bitcoin value, followed by Kazakhstan and Russia.
这也意味着,在比特币价格已经连跌几个月的背景下,给了海外资金抄底的机会,尤其在美元贬值和通胀的背景下,比特币一直被海外机构资金视为对抗通胀的一种避险资产。纽约数字投资集团(NYDIG)首席执行官Ross Stevens表示,其流动性储备现在是比特币,在未来10到20年中,美元是否会相对于比特币贬值。“我们有足够的信心认为,在长期内美元将对比特币是贬值的。”
This also means that, against a backdrop of several months of falling bitcoin prices, the opportunity has been given to depreciate overseas funds, especially in the context of the depreciation of the dollar and inflation, which have been treated by overseas agency funds as a hedge against inflation. Ross Stevens, Chief Executive Officer of the New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG), said that his liquidity reserve is now Bitcoin, and that the dollar will depreciate against Bitco in the next 10 to 20 years. “We have enough confidence that the dollar will devalue the dollar in the long run.”
值得关注的是,美国首个比特币ETF的出现,也是比特币价格上涨的一大因素。
It is a matter of concern that the emergence of the first bitcoin ETF in the United States was also a major factor in the increase in the price of bitcoin.
在比特币ETF基金发起人经历多年尝试和失败之后,加密货币投资终于向美国大众开放。就在比特币创出新高的同一日,北京时间10月20日、美东时间10月19日,美国终于迎来了第一支与比特币相关的交易所交易基金(ETF)——ProShares比特币策略ETF(交易代码为BITO),首日成交额接近10亿美元,成交额创下历史第二高记录(各类ETF基金)。
After years of attempts and failures by the initiators of the Bitcoin ETF, the encrypt currency investment was finally opened to the American public. On the same day that Bitcoin was created, Beijing time was 20 October, and the United States time was 19 October, the United States finally welcomed the first Bitcoin-related Exchange Exchange Trading Fund (ETF) - ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (with a trading code BITO) - the first-day transaction was close to $1 billion, making it the second highest ever (all types of ETF funds).
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比特币ETF在美国的出现,无疑为比特币交易披上了一层合规的外衣,这刺激了资金对比特币的投资需求。
The appearance of the Bitcoin ETF in the United States has undoubtedly put a layer of compliance on the Bitcoin deal, which stimulates the investment needs of the money in bitcoin.
美国安达公司高级市场分析师爱德华莫亚说:“美国证券交易委员会批准比特币ETF对加密货币行业来说将是一个重大时刻,因为这可能是吸引下一波加密货币投资者的关键推动力。”
“The approval of the Bitcoin ETF by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission will be a major moment for the crypto-currency industry, as this may be a key driving force in attracting the next wave of crypto-currency investors”, Edward Moja, a senior market analyst from the United States firm Anders.
华尔街数字货币公司研究主管Tom?Lee则表示,基于比特币期货的美国交易所交易基金(ETF)即将推出,市场对这只基金的大肆炒作可能会在第一年吸引逾500亿美元的资金流入。他称:“我们认为比特币的需求将超过纳指100ETF(QQQ.US)的流入量。”此基金追踪基准纳斯达克100股票指数,根据数据,这只已有20年历史的基金拥有超过1880亿美元的资产。上述上述机构认为,到年底,比特币的价格会在10万美元。
The research director of Wall Street Digital Monetary Corporation, Tom Lee, stated that the upcoming launch of the United States Exchange Trading Fund (ETF) based on Bitcoin futures could attract more than $50 billion in capital inflows in the first year. He said: “We believe that Bitcoins will require more than 100 ETS (QQQ.US) inflows.” The Fund tracks the benchmark NASDAQ 100 stock index, which, according to data, only 20-year-old funds have more than $188 billion in assets. According to the above-mentioned institutions, by the end of the year, the price of Bitcoins would be $100,000.
不过,传统金融机构的人士依旧对此持有怀疑,摩根大通公司董事长兼首席执行官杰米戴蒙认为,比特币会在某个地方被认定为非法,就像中国已认定其非法一样,所以它有点儿像傻瓜的黄金。他在一次公开活动上说:“我个人认为比特币毫无价值。”
However, traditional financial institutions continue to have doubts about this, and Jamie Damon, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Morgan Chase, believes that Bitcoin will be held illegal somewhere, just as China has outlawed it, so it's kind of like stupid gold. He says at a public event, "I personally think Bitcoin is worthless."
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