华夏时报（www.chinatimes.net.cn）记者 胡金华 上海报道
Washington Times (www.chinatimes.net.cn) journalist Hu Jinhua, Shanghai
在巧合的时间点，加密数字货币市场引发关注。
At a time of coincidence, the market for encrypted digital money is a cause for concern.
10月28日，在全球资本市场上欧美股市全线下跌，黄金、石油等大宗商品暴跌的同时，以比特币为代表的加密数字币市场却出现了“大阳”。据加密数字币行情网CoinMarketCap数据显示，当日全球加密数字币总价值站上4000亿美元关口。其中，比特币价格创下2018年崩盘以来的新高，达到13856美元/个，而其市值占比也超过2500亿美元，占据加密数字货币市场总市值的62%。
On October 28, while the global capital market saw a fall in the stock market of Europe and the United States, large commodities such as gold, oil and so forth, the market for encrypted digital currencies, represented by bitcoin, appeared as a “big sun.” According to the data from CoinMarketCap, the total value of encrypted digital currencies on that day was $400 billion. Among them, the price of bitcoins had reached a new high of $13,856 per unit since the collapse of 2018, with a market value of more than $250 billion, accounting for 62 per cent of the total market value of the market for encrypted digital money.
“从消息面上来看，最重要的利好就是纽约州金融服务部向PayPal授予了比特币的许可权，也就意味着用户可以直接使用PayPal账户购买、持有以及出售加密数字币。PayPal作为全球知名的支付渠道，这意味着可以使更多人接触加密数字币且更便捷地进行买卖，也将更多人的目标聚焦到比特币上，进而带来更多新用户。”对此，币安中国一位负责人对《华夏时报》记者分析指出。
“The most important benefit from the news is that the State Department of Financial Services in New York granted PayPal a bitcoin licence, which means that users can buy, hold, and sell encrypted digital currency directly using PayPal accounts. PayPal, a world-renowned payment channel, means that more people can be exposed to encrypted digital coins and buy and sell more easily, and that more people can focus on Bitcoin, thereby bringing more new users.” In this regard, one of the executives of China’s currency analysis of the Washington Times has pointed out.
而上海资深数字货币市场分析师王恒则告诉本报记者，从宏观经济角度看，美元对人民币的持续贬值使得国内大量持有USDT稳定币的用户进行比特币的购买以达到资产保值的目的。除此之外，前段时间的美股走强也间接提升了资本市场的风险偏好，从而带动资本以及机构对于比特币作为另类资产的投资，引发比特币的上涨。
Shanghai’s senior digital money market analyst, Wang Heung, told the newspaper’s reporters that, from a macroeconomic point of view, the continued depreciation of the dollar against the renminbi has led a large number of users of USDT-stabilized currencies in the country to buy bitcoins for asset preservation purposes. In addition, the strengthening of the United States stock during the previous period indirectly increased the risk preferences of capital markets, thus driving capital and institutional investment in bitcoin as an alternative asset, triggering an increase in bitcoins.
比特币连涨一周背后
Bitcoin up for a week
截止记者发稿，比特币报价13192.6美元/个，较前一日收跌3.72%。不过记者了解到，比特币在10月21日突破12000美元后，一路上涨，并于24日至今稳定于13000美元以上，7天涨幅达11.68%。比特币的上涨也带动了其他主流数字币的价格。全球第二大加密数字币以太坊的最新价格为405美元，24小时涨幅近3%。
By the time of the press release, the price of Bitcoin was $13,192.6 per person, a decline of 3.72 per cent from the previous day. However, journalists learned that Bitcoin had risen since its breakthrough of $12,000 on 21 October and had remained stable at over $13,000 to date on 24 October, rising by 11.68 per cent in seven days. The price of other mainstream digital currencies was also boosted by the increase in Bitcoin.
业内人士分析称，从表象看，本轮比特币价格的上涨是源自于美国支付平台Paypal在10月21日发布的公告，称其将推出新服务，使用户能够购买、持有和出售加密货币，并表示计划通过将其作为全球2600万商户处采购商品的资金源，显著提高加密货币的实用性。其数字钱包初期将允许比特币、以太坊、Bitcoin Cash和莱特币的交易。
Industry sources have analysed the increase in the prices of this round of bitcoin as a result of the announcement issued on 21 October by Paypal, the US payment platform, that it will launch a new service that will enable users to purchase, hold and sell encrypted currency, and that it is planned to significantly improve the practicality of encrypted currency by using it as a source of funding for the global 26 million merchants to purchase goods. Its digital wallet will initially allow transactions between Bitcoin, Teta, Bitcoin Cash, and Letcoin.
“更诱人的是，Paypal的这一新服务对全球的用户来说都是免费的。因此数字货币交易市场上的参与者更加乐于使用这一服务让货币在全球间流动，且不收手续费。”王恒指出。
“More temptingly, Paypal’s new service is free for users around the world. As a result, participants in the digital currency exchange market are more willing to use it to allow the currency to move across the globe without charge.” Wang Heung noted.
而Paypal的总裁兼首席执行官Dan Schulman也表示，向数字形式的货币转变是不可避免的，其将在金融普惠以及政府迅速向公民支付资金的能力方面带来明显的优势，同时提升支付系统的效率、速度和弹性。
The President and Chief Executive Officer of Paypal, Dan Schulman, also said that a shift to a currency in digital form was inevitable and would bring significant advantages in terms of financial inclusion and the ability of the Government to quickly pay funds to citizens, while increasing the efficiency, speed and resilience of the payment system.
记者也了解到，就在10月26日，一向对加密数字货币态度反复无常的摩根大通，又有分析师发布看多的研报称，千禧一代更加倾向于配置比特币，而非黄金，来作为“替代”货币，而随着时间推移，千禧一代在投资群体中的比重会越来越高，比特币有望挤压黄金市场，这意味着最多达到10倍的上涨空间。
Journalists have also learned that just on 26 October, Morgan Chase, who has always been inflexible with cryptographic digital money, and analysts have published well-received research reports that the millennium generation is more inclined to configure bitcoin than gold as a “alternative” currency and that, over time, the millennium generation's share in the investment community will grow, and Bitcoin is expected to crush the gold market, which means a maximum of 10 times the scope for a rise.
值得关注的是，近期看好比特币价格上涨的的中外投资者有明显增加。
It is a matter of concern that there has recently been a marked increase in the number of foreign and medium-sized investors who see an increase in the price of bitcoin.
“未来比特币价格将上涨更多，此前比特币价格涨得不够高的原因是投资者很难买到比特币，在PayPal带动下，将有更多机构支持比特币交易。不过比特币5年内数字货币不会成为交易货币。比特币一直被用作储值工具，虽然央行数字货币趋势不可阻挡，但如果发行量增加，也会贬值。比特币作为数字黄金，会被越来越多的投资者纳入资产配置，随着购买便利性增加，价格也将上涨。”美国亿万富翁、银河数字CEO Michael Novogratz称。
“The price of bitcoin will rise even more in the future, after the price of bitcoin had not risen enough because investors had difficulty buying bitcoin, and, under PayPal, there would be more institutions supporting bitcoin transactions. However, bitcoin will not become a trading currency in five years. Bitcoin has been used as a storage tool, although central banks’ digital currency trend is unstoppable, but it will depreciate if it is issued. Bitcoin, as digital gold, will be included in the asset allocation of an increasing number of investors, and prices will rise as purchasing convenience increases.” The billionaire in the United States, the Galaxy number CEO Michael Novogratz, says.
而在国内，也有不少投资数字货币的人士也表示，比特被年底前冲击2万美元是大概率事件。
At the domestic level, there are also a number of investors in digital currencies who suggest that Bitt was likely to be hit by $20,000 by the end of the year.
中美货币的博弈
The Game of Central American Currency > /strang >
“在全球经济下行的大背景下，加密数字币投资却走出了独立行情，吸引了大量黑钱涌入购买加密数字币。即使存在着比特币、以太坊等主流的数字货币，但是加密数字币仍然具有极高的价格风险，很容易被大型机构、庄家和投机者控制或干预，全天不间断交易，没有涨跌限制，价格容易出现巨大波动，甚至很多加密数字币有归零的风险。”对此，王恒指出。
“In the broader context of the global economy’s downturn, the investment in encrypted digital currencies has moved out of independence, attracting large amounts of black money into the purchase of encrypted digital currencies. Even in the case of mainstream digital currencies such as Bitcoin, Ethel, etc., encryption digital currencies remain highly price-risked, easily controlled or intervened by large institutions, estates, and speculators, trading all day long, without upward and downward restrictions, and subject prices to large fluctuations, even many of which run the risk of zero.”
不过，在王恒看来，任何在加密数字货币市场发生的事情，终究反映的还是全球法币国家之间的博弈。
However, anything that happens in an encrypted digital currency market, according to Wang Heng, ultimately reflects a game between countries with global French currency.
“任何加密数字货币资产的计价都是以美元为标准，而每一个加密数字货币USDT等于1美元，如果没有美元计价作为支撑，加密数字货币存在的意义也就没有了。这也说明了美元仍然是全球货币的属性没有改变，这个市场上的投资者相信美元，在这一轮加密数字货币市场上涨的过程中，其实可以看到很多中国炒家的身影，原因在于美元贬值的背景下，人民币对美元的兑换比例更高，也就意味着人民币兑换USDT的比特币也更高，除了获得比特币上涨的收益外，还能获得不菲的汇率收益。”10月29日，上海一位资深炒家黄佳（化名）告诉《华夏时报》记者。
“The value of any encrypted digital monetary asset is based on the United States dollar, and every encrypted digital currency USDT is equal to one dollar, and the significance of the existence of an encrypted digital currency would be diminished if it was not supported by a dollar. This also suggests that the dollar remains a global currency in its properties, that investors in this market believe in the dollar, and that, in the course of the rise in the market for this round of encrypted digital money, there are many Chinese players, because, in the context of the depreciation of the dollar, the renminbi has a higher ratio of bitcoins to the United States dollar, which means that the renminbi is also higher in bitcoin, and that, in addition to the gains from the increase in bitcoin, the exchange rate is considerable.” On October 29, a senior Chinese snobbler, Huang Jia, in Shanghai, told the Washington Times journalist.
黄佳也进一步分析，在传统的汇兑渠道，人民币一年最多能够流到境外的额度也就5万美元，而且人民币资产的流入流出是受到严格地监控的，但是在加密数字货币市场，这种监控至少还没看到，市场炒家全部用数字货币进行买卖支付。
Huang Jia further analysed that, in the traditional currency exchange channels, the renminbi was able to flow abroad for up to $50,000 a year, and that inflows and outflows of renminbi assets were strictly monitored, but at least in the encrypted digital currency market, such surveillance had not yet seen that the marketers were buying and selling the money entirely.
“你有时候很难分得清这个市场存在的意义是什么，当然每个参与者进场都有他自己的目的。但是就国家监管层面来看，美国毫无疑问是加密数字货币的天堂，几乎所有的交易品种都在美国，而美元也是市场的法定支付货币；中国人民币的数字化已经走在全球前列。没有人能想象人民币有一天会成为数字货币市场的交易中介，但是假如真有那一天的到来，人民币的国际地位肯定是真正得到所有人的认可了。”对此，10月29日，一位不愿具名的资深金融市场人士告诉《华夏时报》记者。
“You sometimes find it hard to tell what this market means, and of course every participant comes for his own purpose. But, at the national regulatory level, the United States is undoubtedly a haven for encrypted digital money, almost all of which are traded in the United States, and the United States dollar is the market’s legal payment currency; the digitization of the Chinese renminbi is already at the forefront of the globe. No one can imagine that the renminbi will one day become a trading agent in the digital money market, but if that day comes, the renminbi’s international position would have been truly recognized by everyone.” On October 29, a senior financial marketer who is not wanted to be famous told the reporter of the Summer Times.
而记者也了解到，在国内参与加密数字币的持有者和交易者，有一部分触犯到洗黑钱和诈骗的犯罪行为，随着“净网”行动和“断卡”行动的展开，有些地方已经对出售加密数字资产收到黑钱这种行为以帮助信息网络犯罪活动罪、掩饰隐瞒犯罪所得罪和妨害信用卡管理罪等罪名进行刑事立案。
Journalists are also aware that some of the holders and traders involved in encryption digital currency in the country have committed criminal offences of money laundering and fraud. With the launching of the “net” and “card breaking” operations, criminal proceedings have been opened in some places for the sale of encrypted digital assets for the receipt of black money to assist in information cybercrime activities, concealment of the proceeds of crime and obstruction of credit card administration.
责任编辑：徐芸茜 主编：公培佳
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