ETH行情分析
ETH Paranoia
日线级别来看，MA3日均线当前依旧呈现空头排列，其中MA5日均线的下跌幅度极为夸张，力压当前币价，MACD水底死叉，KDJ持续下行（不过大家需要注意KDJ当前位置比较低了，做空的时候也别太贪心），BOLL整轨还是以一个震荡下行为主的，币价紧贴BOLL下轨，足以看出今天日线的空头欲望还是较强的。这里大家需要注意的是，狄马克排列为TD9，KDJ当前的位置较低了，这是两个存在反弹的可能性，大家需要注意一下。另外对于当前比特币的盘面也进行一个剖析，其实当前比特币的空头盘面结构带来的空头威慑力是大于以太坊的，因为MA3日均线也是呈空头排列，KDJ、MACD及BOLL整体还是持续走低的，这里狄马克排列仅为TD4，那么顺位后推在下周3才是TD9的当K，对于以太坊和BTC当前狄马克排列不联动的情况，个人给出以下两种思路分析供大家参考。
In view of the level of the solar line, the MA3 average still appears to be in a blank order, with the MA5 average falling dramatically, pushing down on the current currency, the MACD subsurface fork, KDJ continuing down (though one needs to note that KDJ is currently in a lower position and is not too greedy when it is empty), and the BOLL's re-orbiting is still based on a tremor of the BOLL, the currency being closely tied down to the BOLL. Here's what you need to note is that Dimack's ranking of TD9, KDJ's current position is low, which is the possibility of a backlash, and here's DIM's layout is only TD4.
一、以太坊今天的TD9站稳，那么明天周六为翻转放量的第一根K，所以第一种思路就是看明天整体走修整性的反弹。当然看第一种就是看以太坊的TD9带动反弹从而破坏比特币当前的下行狄马克排列。
The first idea is to look at tomorrow’s whole backlash. Of course, the first idea is to look at the current bottom of Bitcoin’s Dimac sequence by looking at the current TD9-driven rebound.
二、BTC当前下跌节奏是奔着TD9去的，其破坏以太坊TD9的反弹欲望，从而使其滞后为TD13，然后在比特币TD9和以太坊TD13协同性走反弹。如果是第二种思路的话，那么比特币的TD9是在下周3，以太坊TD13是在下周2形成，那么整体日线的反弹周期会定格在下周3附近了。
Second, BTC’s current downswing has gone on to TD9, destroying Ether’s desire to bounce back into TD13, leaving it lagging behind, and then collapsing in Bitcoin’s TD9 and Ether’s TD13. If it's the second way, then Bitcoin’s TD9 is next week, and Ether’s TD13 is next week, next week, next week, next week, around the third.
因为当前的确存在这样被滞后的可能性，加上最近指标滞后的严重，所以个人还是把两种方式分析出来供大家去做参考。最后关键性的一点是当前各项级别线的空头欲望的确较强，所以简单的思路就是明天后天不反弹，那么下一轮反弹周期会在下周3左右。
Because it is true that there is such a risk of being left behind, coupled with the lateness of recent indicators, the individual analyses the two ways for everyone to see. Last but not least, the empty desires of the current hierarchies are stronger, so the simple idea is that the day after tomorrow will not bounce, and the next round of rebounds will be around 3 p.m. next week.
4小时级别来看，BOLL整轨下沉，KDJ当前扭头再次形成死叉，MACD多头欲望依旧较差，MA10与MA30日均线还是呈现强力的下跌欲望，另外当前币价也是再次跌至MA5日均线下方。整体而言按当前4小时盘面来看，预计日内走势还是一个高空思路为主，日线上方MA5日均线的压制，也是注定日内币价的反弹不会有太强烈，那么后续就是一个顺日线MA5日均线的下跌思路操作为主。下方第一支撑参考1880-1823，第二支撑参考1751-1679区域附近。
On a four-hour scale, BOLL is sinking, KDJ is now turning back into a dead end, MACD is still less than desired, the MA10 and MA30 daily averages are still showing a strong desire to fall, and the currency price is now falling again below the MA5 average. Overall, on the current four-hour plate, the expected movement in the day is dominated by a high-altitude approach, and the pressure on the MA5 daily average above the line is not too strong, and the fall in currency price is bound to be higher in the day, followed by a downward thinking of the MA5 average on the sunline.
小时级别线来看，当前KDJ出现强烈的空头交易信号，MA3日均线呈现明显的空头排列下跌欲望，MACD及BOLL当前多头交易量匮乏，所以反弹力度薄弱，整体来看小时线整体也是为高空交易思路。
The hour-level line shows that KDJ is showing a strong signal of empty trading, that the MA3 daily average displays a clear desire for a fall in line, that MACD and BOLL are currently short of multiple transactions, that is, they are weak and that the hour-line as a whole is a high-altitude trade concept.
最后分析一下来自15分钟及30分钟超短线的行情提示，当前15分钟线以太坊TD9滞后，比特币TD9刚形成，那么大家稍微注意来自15分钟线的超卖后的反弹（力度不会太强的，仅为超短线而已）；30分钟盘面来看，如果来自15分钟的反弹力度不强的前提下，那么顺位后推在下午4点附近形成TD9，那么就要稍微注意下午4点30-5点30区间会有一定的反弹出现，这轮反弹力度预计也不会太强的，压力位就实时参考4小时MA5日均线-4小时的MA10日均线即可。反弹力度预计也不会太强，那么后续还是一个顺势下跌为主，今天的主要交易思路也是高空思路。
Finally, an analysis of the signs from the 15-minute and 30-minute ultra-short lines suggests that the 15-minute line is currently lagging behind by the Tai Chamber's TD9 and Bitcoin's TD9 has just been formed, so you should pay a little attention to the backlash from the 15-minute line (not too strong, just short lines); 30 minutes on the disk, if the backlash from the 15-minute rebound is not strong, then the TD9 will be formed around 4 p.m. A little attention should be paid to the rebound between 4:30 p.m. and 5:30 p.m., which is not expected to be too strong, and the pressure position is to refer in real time to the 4-hour MA5 average - 4-hour MA10 average. The rebound is not expected to be too strong.
总结一下今天整体的交易思路：今天日内整体走势还是一个高空思路为主，下方第一支撑参考1880-1823，若第一支撑被有效跌破那么后续参考第二支撑1751-1679区域附近即可。另外关于超短线的内容，请看（最后分析）的那部分。最后也稍微提醒一下各位朋友，这条分析内容比较多，不要光看总结部分哈。
To sum up today’s overall trade thinking: today’s day is still dominated by a high-altitude approach, with the first supporting reference to 1880-1823 below, and the second supporting reference to the area close to 1751-1679, if the first support is effectively broken. For the shortest line, look at the part (final analysis). Finally, let us remind your friends that this analysis is more extensive than just the summary.
以上为个人行情分析，仅供大家参考。
The above is a case-by-case analysis for information purposes only.
注册有任何问题请添加 微信：MVIP619 拉你进入群
打开微信扫一扫
添加客服
进入交流群
发表评论