以太坊现货ETF的审批进度似乎已进入最后阶段。今(27)日,路透援引产业高管和相关参与者的内幕消息称,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)最快可能在7月4日批准以太坊现货ETF。SEC5月批准了8档以太坊现货ETF的19b-4交易所规则变更文件后,6月22日,所有申请人均提交了S-1注册申请文件的更新版,一旦SEC批准最后的S-1文件,以太坊现货ETF最快可以在24小时内上市交易。
On this date (27), Reuters quoted industry executives and relevant participants as saying that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could approve ETF as soon as July 4. Following SEC’s approval in May of the 8th volume change of rules for ETF exchange 19b-4, all applicants submitted an updated version of the S-1 registration application document, and once SEC had approved the final S-1 document, ETF could be traded as soon as possible within 24 hours.
两家匿名公司高层透露,修改S-1文件的过程已经进展到仅剩下“小问题”待解决。一位与其中一位发行商合作的律师也表示审批过程目前“已进入最后阶段”,批准“可能不会超过一两周”。
Two high-level anonymous companies have revealed that the process of modifying S-1 documents has progressed to “ minor problems & & rdquao; to be resolved. A lawyer who works with one of the issuers also indicated that the approval process is currently & & & & & rdquao; has reached the final stage & & & & & & & ldquao; may not exceed one or two weeks & & rdquao;
彭博分析师估最早7/2推出
SEC虽拒绝对此发表评论,但SEC主席Gary Gensler昨日受访时透露目前“进展顺利”。 Although SEC declined to comment on this, the current & ldquo; progress is well & rdquo; the Chairman of SEC, Gary Gensler, was revealed when he was interviewed yesterday. 曾精准预言比特币期货/现货ETF发行时间的彭博ETF分析师Eric Balchunas月中也乐观预期SEC很可能在下周正式批准这些ETF,并将他们预测的以太坊现货ETF上市日期提前到“7月2日”。 In mid-month, Eric Balchunas, the Bloomberg ETF analyst who used to predict the release date of Bitcoin futures/ spot ETFs, was optimistic that SEC would probably formally approve these ETFs next week and advance their forecast of the market date for ETFs in Taiku to & ldquo; and 2 July & rdquo; 分析师:以太坊现货ETF上市不会“太火” Analyst: Etheria spot ETF not listed & ldquao; too hot & rdquao; 目前迹象显示,距离以太坊现货ETF的上市仅剩下最后一哩路,不过许多ETF和加密货币分析师认为,以太坊现货ETF的推出后的资金流入比年初上市的比特币现货ETF逊色得多。 Current indications suggest that there is only one last mile from ETA spot ETF listing, although many ETFs and encrypted currency analysts believe that ETA spot ETF inflows are much worse than the Bitcoin spot ETF that was on the market at the beginning of the year. Coinshares研究主管James Butterfill评论称,“以太坊的市值和交易量都与比特币量级不同。” James Butterhill, Director of Coinshares Research, commented that & & & & & & & & & ; the market value and volume of transactions are different from that of bitcoin. & & rdquao; 晨星的ETF分析师Bryan Armour则指出:“鉴于两种加密货币的市场规模和性质存在差异,以太坊ETF推出时,资金流入可能会更加温和。比特币十年来一直存在着被压抑的需求,因此投资者对其现货ETF兴趣高涨,但(以太坊现货ETF)不会引起同样的兴奋。” The morning star's ETF analyst, Bryan Armour, said: “ given the differences in the size and nature of the market for the two encrypted currencies, capital inflows may be more moderate when ETFs are launched. Bitcoin has been suffering from depressed demand for 10 years, so investors have become more interested in its spot ETFs, but they will not be equally excited. & rdquo; 以太坊现货ETF推出后的价格预测
不过目前市场分析师对ETH价格有极端的看法,上周Mechanism Capital的共同创办人Andrew Kang也同样发表对以太坊ETF影响力的保守看法,预估以太坊现货ETF市场流量约为比特币的15%,认为现货ETF推出后ETH的潜在上行空间有限,他个人预测价格会在2,400美元到3,000美元之间。 At present, however, market analysts have an extreme view of ETH prices, and Andrew Kang, the co-founder of Mechanism Capital last week, shared a conservative view of the influence of ETF in Taiyo, predicting that the market flow of ETF in Taipan is about 15 per cent of Bitcoin, arguing that there is limited potential for ETH upwards after the launch of the ETF, and that his personal forecast would be between $2,400 and $3,000. 不过,数位资产交易公司QCP Capital看法则相反,表示期权市场目前显示出乐观情绪,称以太坊现货ETF若能捕捉比特币现货ETF的10%~20%流量,将可能推动ETH价格超过4,000美元,并接近其历史高点4,800美元。 However, the contrary view of the digital asset trading company QCP Capital suggests that the options market is currently showing optimism that capture of 10 to 20 per cent of the spot ETF traffic in Bitcoin on board ETFs, using the Taiku spot ETF, would likely drive ETH prices above US$ 4,000 and close to its historical high of US$ 4,800. 币价方面,ETF今日凌晨一度站回3400美元上方,撰稿当下已回落至3,377美元(24小时跌幅1.1%),以太币近30日已下跌12%。 In terms of currency prices, the ETF stood back at $3,400 in the early morning of this year, and its contribution has now fallen to $3,377 (a 1.1 per cent decline in 24 hours) and the Ether has fallen by 12 per cent in almost 30 days.
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