財聯社6月20日訊（編輯 馬蘭）在月初短暫漲上70000美元之後，比特幣開始一路下跌，導致其市場總額縮水了3000億美元，令市場期待的4萬億美元里程碑時刻變得遙遙無期。
After a brief increase of $70,000 at the beginning of the month, the Bitcoin began to fall, causing its market stock to shrink by $300 billion, making the market’s expected milestone of $4 trillion impossible.
而這與月初美國財政部長耶倫的高利率相關警告有着直接關係。耶倫指出，聯儲局長期將利率水平保持在高水平，增加了美國財政部門控制赤字和利息支出的難度，且可能將導致比特幣和其他加密貨幣的崩潰。
This is directly related to the warning of the US Treasury Minister Aaron's high interest rate at the beginning of the month. Aaron notes that the Federal Reserve's has kept interest rates at high levels over a long period of time, adding to the US Treasury's difficulty in controlling deficits and interest spending, and could lead to a collapse of Bitcoin and other encrypted currency.
這一觀點恰好切中加密投資人一直擔憂的痛點，此後，加密市場資產進入痛苦的下行期間。比特幣ETF的最大發行人貝萊德也警告，一種前所未有的局面正在發生，可能將打擊比特幣價格和加密貨幣市場。
This point coincides with the pain that the encrypt investors have been worried about, after which the encrypt market asset /span > entered a painful period of descent. Belet, the biggest distributor of the bitcoin ETF /span >, also warned that an unprecedented situation is unfolding that could hit the bitcoin price and the encrypt currency market.
貝萊德分析師表示，各國央行被迫將利率保持在高於疫情前的水平，以應對持續的通脹壓力。由於供應受限，新的宏觀經濟體制的特點是通脹率上升、利率上升、增長放緩，而這種混亂局面將在較長時間內持續存在。
According to Belet analysts, central banks have been forced to keep interest rates above pre-epidemiological levels in response to continuing general pressure. Given supply constraints, the new grand economy is characterized by rising deflation rates, rising interest rates, and easing growth, which will continue for a long time.
比特幣價格走勢直接反映了市場對這一警告的態度。自6月7日創下今日高點71907美元之後，比特幣價格已經累計跌去了約10%，比特幣目前報65,129.5美元。盤整階段
Bitcoin price movements directly reflect the market's attitude to this warning. Since the high of $71907 today on June 7, Bitcoin prices have fallen by about 10%, and Bitcoins are now reporting $65,129.5.
加密貨幣和金融科技投資公司Fineqia的研究分析師Matteo Greco補充道，最近比特幣價格下跌也與礦工大量拋售有關。獎勵減半促使礦工們優化資本效率以保持盈利能力，且日益嚴峻的競爭形勢也要求礦工們被迫尋找各種收入來源。
Research analyst Matteo Greco, an encryption currency and financial technology investment company, adds that the recent fall in Bitco’s prices is also associated with a massive sale by miners. The reduction in incentives has led miners to optimize capital efficiency in order to maintain profitability, and growing competition has forced miners to search for various sources of income.
但一些業內人士指出，比特幣價格的下跌邏輯是“建立平衡”，正處於盤整階段，並不意味着已經結束漲勢。
However, according to some insiders, the logic of the fall in bit currency prices is “building a balance” and is at the stage, which does not mean that the boom has ended.
樂觀者繼續樂觀。AllianceBernstein分析師仍看好比特幣將漲上新高度，其認爲到2025年，比特幣價格將升至20萬美元。Pomp投資公司的創始人兼合夥人Anthony Pompliano也曾堅定表示，比特幣價格將在一年內漲到10萬美元。
Alliance Bernstein analysts still see bitcoins rising to new heights, believing that bitcoins will rise to $200,000 by 2025. Anthony Pomgliano, the founder and partner of Pomp Investments, also insisted that bitcoins would rise to $100,000 in one year.
不過據CryptoQuant分析師預測，由於比特幣突破了重要支撐位65800美元的50日均線，其可能將面臨8-12%的回調，從而下探至60000美元。
However, CryptoQuant analysts predicted that by breaking the 50-day average of the important
Jumper.Exchange首席執行官Marko Jurina分析道，交易員對市場表現不滿意時，要麼以折扣價出售以減少損失，要麼退出風險較高的倉位以等待不確定性消失。
The Chief Executive Officer of Jumper.Exchange, Marko Jurina, analyzes whether traders, when not satisfied with the market, sell at discounts to reduce losses or either exit high-risk warehouses to wait for uncertainty to disappear.
他強調，現在全球經濟環境正在惡化，地緣政治問題得不到解決，夏季交易量減少，加上即將到來的美國大選，至少在未來幾個月市場走勢將會朝着下跌的方向發展。
He stressed that, now that the global economic environment is deteriorating, geopolitical problems are not being resolved, summer trade is declining, and the upcoming United States elections, at least in the coming months, market developments will be on the decline.
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