原标题：避险功能凸显 比特币价格逼近4600元大关
Original title: The risk avoidance function highlights the fact that bitcoin prices are close to $4,600.
10月25日，根据比特币交易平台——火币网的最新数据，比特币价格在盘中触及每个币4536元，维持在近3个月高位。在人民币贬值浪潮下，比特币却稳步上涨。
On 25 October, according to the latest data from the Bitcoin trading platform, the gunnet, the price of bitcoin touched $4,536 per coin on the plate and remained high for almost three months. In the face of a wave of devaluation of the renminbi, bitcoin rose steadily.
火币网COO朱嘉伟指出，从技术角度来说，比特币自8月3日“黑天鹅事件”后（即bitfinex发生大规模盗币）整体价格逐步企稳回升，9月4日后正式进入标准的上升通道。经过前期多日横盘调整后，多军蓄力爆发。本次上涨，币价在强势突破阻力位4400后，直冲4575逼近4600元大关，进入新一轮的调整和趋势。
According to Coyo Jiave, from a technical point of view, the entire price of Bitcoin has risen steadily since the Black Swan incident on August 3 (i.e., the large-scale theft of currency by bitfinex) and officially entered the standard upwards route after September 4. Following the adjustment of the previous multi-day arrays, the multi-army reserve has erupted. After this rise, the price of the currency has broken out of the resistance by 4400, the price has risen to close to $4,575 and has entered a new round of adjustment and trend.
朱嘉伟指出，汇率因素是长期且底层的影响因素，10月1日人民币加入SDR后，人民币单边持续贬值，对各个市场的累积效应已经开始展现。在人民币打开下跌通道的阶段，投资者会考虑配置一些保值和避险资产，特别是与人民币汇率联动呈弱相关和负相关的资产，例如美元、黄金、比特币等。
Chu said that the exchange rate factor was a long-term and bottom-up factor, and that the renminbi continued to depreciate unilaterally after joining the SDR on October 1, and the cumulative effect on markets has begun to show. During the period when the renminbi opened the way to decline, investors would consider the allocation of a number of value and risk-avoidance assets, especially those associated with weak linkage to the renminbi exchange rate, such as the United States dollar, gold, bitcoin, etc.
财经专栏作家、电子货币研究人士肖磊对《国际金融报》记者表示：“比特币目前受中国市场的影响较大，人民币贬值预期确实是最近比特币价格维持在高位运行的一个原因。”
The financial columnist, an electronic money researcher, Xiao Xiao, said to the Journal of International Finance: “Bitcoin is currently heavily influenced by the Chinese market, and the expected devaluation of the renminbi is indeed one of the reasons why the recent high Bitcoin prices have been maintained.”
不过，肖磊认为：“人民币贬值并不是支撑比特币价格走强的惟一原因。他指出，区块链技术越来越被金融和其它市场认可，对比特币也有一定支撑，一些持有者不愿意减持，继续等待和关注区块链的发展，变成了长线持有。”
However, Shaw argued: “The devaluation of the renminbi is not the only reason why bitcoin prices are stronger. He pointed out that block chain technology is increasingly recognized by finance and other markets, that bitcoin has some support, that some holders are reluctant to hold it, and that they continue to wait and focus on the development of the block chain and become long-line holdings.”
此外，肖磊还指出，由于比特币总量有限，供给实际上受到了很大限制，如出现消息刺激，很容易大涨。
In addition, Shaw Jian noted that, owing to the limited size of the Bitcoins, supply was in fact severely restricted and could easily rise as a result of the news-stimulation.
肖磊进一步判断，随着人民币汇率的走弱，对国内投资者的刺激还会持续，除了买入股票等风险资产，固定收益类、外币理财等都会有较大的需求。在另类资产配置方面，黄金、钻石、比特币等也是一种选择。
Xiaoqing further judged that, as the renminbi’s exchange rate weakens, incentives for domestic investors will continue, with higher demand for fixed earnings, foreign-currency money, etc., in addition to the purchase of risky assets such as equities. Gold, diamonds, bitcoins, etc. are also an option for alternative asset allocation.
“但投资者不能对人民币贬值有太大的预期，预计人民币贬值幅度和贬值节奏不会过快，对各资产的推升是个长期的过程，资产配置不能过于关注短期回报。”肖磊强调。
“It is not possible, however, for investors to expect too much of a devaluation of the renminbi, which is not expected to be excessive in its magnitude and pace, which is a long-term process to push assets up, and asset allocation cannot focus too much on short-term returns.” Shaw emphasized.
（国际金融报记者 张竞怡）
(Reporter of the International Finance Reporter, Zhang Jingyi)
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