比特币通过使用区块链技术来实现去中心化的交易记录和账本。它不依赖于传统金融机构，如银行或中央银行，而是建立在一个分布式的网络上，由全球参与者共同维护。比特币的供应是有限的，总量设定为2100万枚。相对传统货币，比特币具有去中心化、匿名性和安全性等优势，那么比特币下一次减半是什么时候?
Bitcoin achieves decentralised transaction logs and books by using block chain technology. Instead of relying on traditional financial institutions, such as banks or central banks, it is built on a distributed network that is maintained by global players. Bitcoins supply is limited, with a total of 21 million units. When is the next time that bitcoins are halved with the advantages of decentralisation, anonymity, and security?
比特币大约每四年减半一次，下一次减半将于明年即 2024 年发生。
Bitcoin is about halved every four years, and next half will happen next year, 2024.
准确地说，比特币协议的设计目的是每 210,000 个区块执行一次减半。由于开采一个新区块通常需要大约 10 分钟，因此每天大约开采 144 个区块，或者每月开采超过 4,300 个区块。
To be precise, the Bitcoin agreement is designed to be implemented by half of every 210,000 blocks. Since the extraction of a new block usually takes about 10 minutes, approximately 144 blocks per day are mined, or more than 4,300 blocks per month.
目前我们已经开采了不到 800,000 个区块，因此在我们到达下一个区块之前还需要开采 40,000 个区块。在不到十个月的时间里，我们应该会达到决定性的 840,000 个区块大关，这将触发第四次减半。
Now that we have mined less than 800,000 blocks, we need 40,000 blocks before we reach the next block. In less than 10 months, we should have reached the decisive 840,000 blocks, which will trigger a fourth reduction by half.
事实上，一个区块与下一个区块之间并不总是有 10 分钟的时间。
In fact, there is not always 10 minutes between one block and the next.
挖掘一个块意味着随机搜索一个称为哈希的字母数字字符串来验证它，并且这种搜索的时间是不可预测的，因为它是随机的。
Digging a block means randomly searching for an alphanumeric string called Hashi to verify it, and the time for such a search is unpredictable because it is random.
然而，它可以以这样的方式完成：平均需要大约 10 分钟才能找到它，这意味着所谓的出块时间始终保持相当接近 10 分钟。
However, it can be done in such a way that it takes an average of about 10 minutes to find it, which means that the so-called block time is always quite close to 10 minutes.
例如，五月份几乎总是略低于此阈值，而六月份则通常略高于该阈值。
For example, in May it was almost always slightly below this threshold, whereas in June it was usually slightly above that threshold.
另一方面，在 2023 年初，出块时间几乎总是低于 10 分钟，这稍微缩短了对下一个半年日期的估计。
On the other hand, at the beginning of 2023, the amount of time available was almost always less than 10 minutes, a slight reduction in the estimate of the next six-monthly date.
这意味着估计下一次减半的日期并不精确，即使您确定它会恰好发生在区块号 840,000 处。
This means that the estimate of the next halving date is not accurate, even if you are sure it will happen exactly at block number 840,000.
它还取决于你如何做，即你是使用理论平均出块时间10分钟来计算，还是使用当前平均出块时间，或者最近几个月或几年的平均出块时间。
It also depends on how you do it, whether you use the theoretical average of 10 minutes to calculate it, or the current average of 10 minutes, or the average of the last few months or years.
然而，几乎所有的预测都表明，第 840,000 个区块将在明年 4 月至 5 月期间被开采，可能在 4 月底或 5 月初，从而引发第四次减半。
However, almost all projections indicate that the 840,000 blocks will be mined between April and May next year, possibly at the end of April or early May, triggering a fourth reduction by half.
在比特币(Bitcoin)的上，"减半"是指比特币区块奖励的减半事件，也称为"哈尔文事件"(Halving Event)。这是比特币的一个内置机制，旨在限制比特币的供应量，并控制通货膨胀。
In Bitcoin, &quat; halving & quot; refers to the halving of bitcoin block incentives, also known as &quat; Halving Event; this is a built-in mechanism for bitcoin aimed at limiting the supply of bitcoin and controlling inflation.
每当发生一次减半事件时，比特币网络中每个出块所获得的奖励将减半。最初，比特币的区块奖励为50个比特币，但在比特币网络的创世区块产生后的约四年时间里，这个数量会减半为25个比特币。之后，再过四年的时间，又会减半为12.5个比特币。这样的减半周期会一直持续下去，直至比特币总量达到2100万枚。
At first, the Bitcoin block reward was 50 bitcoins, but it would halve to 25 bitcoins in about four years after the creation of the Bitcoin grid. After that, it would halve to 12.5 bitcoins in four years.
减半事件的发生对比特币市场有着重要影响。由于比特币供应减少，减半通常会导致供需失衡，进而可能对比特币价格产生影响。一般来说，减半事件被视为比特币价格上涨的一个因素，因为供应减少往往引发了投资者和交易者对稀缺性的关注，而市场需求可能继续增加。
As a result of the decline in the supply of bitcoins, halving usually results in an imbalance in supply and demand, which may have an impact on bitcoin prices. Generally, halving events are seen as a factor in the price increase of bitcoins, as the decline in supply often triggers concerns about scarcity among investors and traders, and market demand is likely to continue to rise.
然而，减半事件并非完全确定会导致价格上涨，比特币市场受到多种因素的影响，并且价格受到供需平衡、投资者情绪、市场流动性和全球经济状况等因素的共同作用。因此，在考虑参与比特币投资时，还需要综合考虑各种因素，并进行充分的研究和评估。免责申明：本文仅供参考，不构成投资建议，据此操作，风险自担。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。
However, halving events is not entirely certain that they will lead to price increases, that the Bitcoin market is affected by multiple factors, and that prices are combined by factors such as balance of supply and demand, investor sentiment, market liquidity, and global economic conditions. Therefore, when considering participation in Bitcoin, there is a need for a combination of factors and for adequate research and evaluation.
免责申明：本文仅供参考，不构成投资建议，据此操作，风险自担。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。
Exemption : This paper is for information purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, operating on its own risk basis.
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