华夏时报(www.chinatimes.net.cn)记者 胡金华 见习记者 戴贤超 上海报道
Reporter of the Summer Times (www.chinatimes.net.cn)
5月12日凌晨3点23分,比特币在区块高度630000完成第三次减半,区块奖励从12.5 BTC减半至6.25 BTC。然而,此次比特币减半后,比特币价格未能迎来新一轮暴涨。《华夏时报》记者注意到,在比特币第三次减半后,比特币价格一直在10000美元附近徘徊不前,5月14日,比特币价格最高达到9945美元,始终未能冲破万元大关。
On May 12, at 3.23 a.m., Bitcoin completed its third cut in half at a block height of 630,000, with a block incentive from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC. However, after halving Bitcoin this time, Bitcoin prices did not rise to a new surge. The Washington Times journalist noted that after halving Bitcoins for the third time, Bitcoin prices remained in the vicinity of $10,000. On May 14, Bitcoin prices reached a maximum of $9945 and failed to break the 10,000 mark.
与此同时,矿圈也迎来了至暗时刻。《华夏时报》记者关注到,在第三次减半后,多种型号的矿机都达到关机价,曾经风靡一时的蚂蚁S9的价格,更是跌到了一台100元,即便如此,也无人问津。
At the same time, the ring has come to a dark moment. The Washington Times journalists are concerned that, after halving the third time, the prices of various types of mine machines have been cut off, and the price of once-a-year-old ant S9 has fallen to a hundred dollars, even if it is unattainable.
“这次减半导致一些高耗能的矿机大甩卖,两个月前S9的价格还在300元左右,现在100元也没人买。很多机型如同废铁一般,矿主想转手,但是没人愿意接盘。”矿工薛阳(化名)在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示。
“This reduction in the number of energy-intensive miners resulted in the sale of some 300 dollars at a price of S9 two months ago, and now 100 dollars. Many of the machines, like scrap iron, are of the type that miners want to turn around, but no one wants to pick up the plate.” The miner, Xueyang, said in an interview with a Washington Times journalist.
10000美元大关难突破
$10,000 to break through
在第三次减半前夕,比特币价格已经经历一场过山车,5月10日早上8点开始,比特币单价在半小时内从9500美元价位瞬间下跌了上千美元,最低价格跌破8200美元,最高价差超1400美元。比特币价格暴跌,亏损的不仅仅是持币者,一些参与虚拟货币合约的客户,也是损失惨重。《华夏时报》记者获悉,至少有4.2万人爆仓,爆仓的金额达到8.34亿美元,折合人民币将近60亿元。
On the eve of the third halving of the price of Bitcoin, which had already gone through a roller coaster at 8 a.m. on 10 May, the price of Bitcoin fell by an instant of 1,000 dollars from the price of $9,500 in half an hour, with a minimum price of $8,200 and a maximum price difference of over $1,400. Bitcoin prices fell sharply, not only for its holders, but also for a number of clients involved in virtual currency contracts.
没有人会预料到,比特币第三次减半会以如此惨烈的方式拉开帷幕。5月12日凌晨3点23分,比特币在区块高度630000完成第三次减半,区块奖励从12.5 BTC减半至6.25 BTC。
No one would have expected that the third halving of Bitcoin would open in such a tragic way. At 3:23 a.m. on May 12th, Bitcoin would have halved the third at a block height of 630,000, with block incentives ranging from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC.
“随着比特币减半,数月后币价会有所回升。虽然近期币价波动剧烈,数十款矿机已经来到停机价,但全网算力下降幅度比较缓慢,说明大部分矿工还是没有停机、甚至在赔本挖矿,因为相信未来比特币价格会有所上升。不管你信不信,这一次减半,虽然会令很多人爆仓,但是另一群人暴富的机会又来了。”币圈人士张成(化名)坚定地告诉《华夏时报》记者。
“As bitcoin is reduced by half, the price will rise in a few months. Despite the recent sharp currency fluctuations, with dozens of miners arriving at the cut-off rate, the decline in net capacity has been slower, indicating that most miners have not stopped or even paid for the mine, because they believe that the price of bitcoin will rise in the future.
“在前两次的减半后,比特币价格都迎来了几十倍的暴涨,但是距离新一轮的减半已经过去3天,比特币的价格一直稳定在10000美元以内,币圈一夜暴富梦未能如愿,很多人甚至因此爆仓,成为百万负翁。”薛阳说。
“After the first two halves, bitcoin prices surged dozens of times, but three days have passed since the new round was halved, the price of bitcoin has remained stable at $10,000, and the windfalls of currency circles have failed to meet expectations, and many have even exploded into million negatives.” Says Xueyang.
《华夏时报》记者关注到,最近三天比特币价格一直徘徊在9500美元左右,最高时达到9945美元,距离10000美元仅一步之遥,但是最终未能突破。即便如此,投资者苏强(化名)仍然认为这次减半后,比特币价格会迎来新一轮暴涨,只是需要等到时机。
The Washington Times is concerned that the price of bitcoin has been hovering around $9,500 for the last three days, peaking at $9945, one step away from $10,000, but it has not made a breakthrough. Even so, the investor Su – aliases – continues to believe that after this halving, bitcoin prices will rise in a new surge, just waiting for the moment.
“比特币挖矿奖励减半之前已经发生过两次,比特币价格都经历一轮暴涨。在2012年,挖矿奖励从50比特币变为25比特币,价格一年内上涨了近8200%。在2016年第二次减半后的18个月中,比特币价格上涨超过2200%。这一次即便是没有几十倍的暴涨行情,但翻几倍问题应该不大,只是时机问题。”苏强说。
“It happened twice before the bitcoin mine incentive was halved, and bitcoin prices rose sharply. In 2012, the mining incentive went from 50 bitcoins to 25 bitcoins, with prices rising by almost 8,200% in one year. In the 18 months following the second half in 2016, Bitcoins increased by more than 2,200 percent. This time, even without a few dozen times more surges, the question of doubling is only a matter of timing.” Sioux said.
挖矿生态恶化
Deterioration of Mining Ecology
比特币第三次减半将对比特币相关产业产生很大影响,尤其是“挖矿”行业,矿圈的生态环境也进一步恶化。《华夏时报》记者关注到,在比特币第三次减半完成后,一些高耗能的矿机也不得不面临被淘汰的现状。在减半前夕,市面上大量的矿机已面临“开机即亏损”的状态。其中,不乏比特币大陆、嘉楠、亿邦国际三大矿机制造商的明星产品,包括蚂蚁系列矿机、翼比特系列矿机、阿瓦隆系列矿机等的老旧型号。
The third halving of Bitcoin will have a significant impact on the Bitcoin-related industry, particularly in the “mining” industry, and further deterioration of the ecosystem of the mine cycle. The reporters in the summers are concerned that, after the third halving of Bitcoin, a number of energy-intensive miners will have to face a phase-out. On the eve of halving, a large number of mine machines on the market are already facing a “open-and-lost” situation.
根据F2Pool数据显示,截至5月14日,按电费0.35元/度计算,有45种型号的矿机达到关机价,占矿机总型号数的49%。其中不乏近两年新上市的明星矿机,比如比特大陆的第一代7nm矿机蚂蚁T15,以及嘉楠2019年的主力机型阿瓦隆A1066。曾经风靡一时的蚂蚁S9的价格,更是跌到了一台100元,即便如此,也无人问津。
According to F2Pool data, as at 14 May, 45 types of mine had reached a cut-off price of 0.35 yuan/degree, representing 49% of the total number of miners. There were no fewer star machines that had been on the market in the last two years, such as the first-generation 7nm miner T15 on the continent of Bit, and the KARA 2019 mainframe A1066.
“这次减半导致一些高耗能的矿机大甩卖,两个月前S9的价格还在300元左右,现在100元也没人买。很多机型如同废铁一般,矿主想转手,但是没人愿意接盘。”矿工薛阳(化名)在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示。
“This reduction in the number of energy-intensive miners resulted in the sale of some 300 dollars at a price of S9 two months ago, and now 100 dollars. Many of the machines, like scrap iron, are of the type that miners want to turn around, but no one wants to pick up the plate.” The miner, Xueyang, said in an interview with a Washington Times journalist.
据业内人士预测,比特币算力会下降30%,事实与业内人士的预测一致。但他们认为这对比特币有利,运行旧设备或电力成本高的矿工可能被迫至少暂时关闭其矿机运营。
Industry predicts a 30 per cent drop in Bitcoin, which is in fact the same as industry forecast. They believe that it would be good for Bitcoin, and that miners with high costs of running old equipment or electricity may be forced to shut down their machines at least temporarily.
《华夏时报》记者关注到,在减半前夕,莱比特矿池创始人江卓尔透露称,其已经向比特大陆预定了价值数千万左右的最新款S19矿机,预计5月下旬发货。
Reporters of the summer newspaper are concerned that, on the eve of the halving of the half, the founder of the Lebitt pit, Jiang Treir, revealed that it had booked the latest S19 miner, valued at about tens of millions, to the mainland, and that it was expected to deliver the shipment in late May.
“比特币挖矿行业,可以提高芯片制造水平,挖矿难度越大,越需要高效的矿机,这是一个提高生产力的机制。高耗能矿机被淘汰是必然趋势。”矿机行业人士刘宇(化名)在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示。
“The bitcoin mining industry can raise the level of chip production, the more difficult it is to dig, and the more efficient a mine machine is needed, which is a mechanism to increase productivity. The elimination of high-energy mining machines is an inevitable trend.” Liu Woo, a miner, said in an interview with a Washington Times journalist.
事实上,矿业生态恶化远不止于此,即便是矿机生产商也未能幸免。
In fact, the ecological deterioration of the mining industry goes far beyond that, even the producers of mining machines have not been spared.
国内矿机生产巨头嘉楠科技也陷入麻烦之中,《华夏时报》记者关注到,5月14日,美股研究机构White Diamond发布了一份针对嘉楠科技的做空报告。White Diamond在报告中称:近几年来,比特币开采一直是个赔钱买卖,更不用说嘉楠科技使用的“二流矿机”了。相比于其竞争对手比特大陆(Bitmain)的老一代矿机,嘉楠的新一代矿机盈利能力较差。White Diamond指出嘉楠科技的业务是出售比特币采矿机硬件,除此之外,没有其他重要的业务、也没有经常性的软性收入。他们认为,基于目前比特币的价格和运行机器的电价,现如今嘉楠科技的矿机对于矿商来说是无利可图的。
According to White Diamond, in recent years, Bitcoin mining has been a paid-off business, not to mention the “second-rate miner” used by Kana’s technology. The new generation of Kana’s miner is less profitable than its rival, Bitmain’s old-generation miner. White Diamond points out that Caraan’s business is the sale of Bitco’s mining machine hardware, and that there is no other important business or regular soft income.
责任编辑:徐芸茜 主编:秦岭
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