6月18日，一场 恐怖的崩盘，在币圈上演。
June 18th, a terrible crash in the currency ring.
“没想到比特币也赶上618打折了！一个午觉起来，又跌了快2万元，现在连本金都要跌没了。”投资者李杰（化名）表示。
“I didn't expect Bitcoin to get a 618 discount. A midday break, another 20,000 dollars down, now the principal's gone.” The investor, Li Jie, said.
北京时间18日下午2点50分左右，比特币突然暴跌，10分钟之内跌近1000美元。之后接连失守2万美元及1.9万美元关口，创下2020年12月以来的最低水平。币安数据显示，下午5时左右，比特币价格报18996美元，较上一个交易日下跌近10%。
At around 2.50 p.m. Beijing time, Bitcoin fell suddenly, falling close to $1,000 in 10 minutes. It then lost $20,000 and $19,000, the lowest level since December 2020. Currency security data show that at around 5 p.m., Bitcoin prices fell by nearly 10 per cent from the previous day.
图片来源：币安
Image source: MoneyAnn
虚拟货币市场巨震
本周，比特币频现跳水行情，多头防御阵线一触即溃。拉长时间线来看，自去年11月创下历史最高价68928.9美元后，比特币就进入震荡下行通道，至今跌幅已经超过72%。这意味着，如果投资者在去年底高点买入3枚比特币，那么如今损失近百万元。
This week, Bitcoin jumped out of the water, and the multi-faceted defense front collapsed. A long line was drawn, and since the historic high of $68,928.9 last November, Bitcoin has gone down the tremor route, which has dropped by more than 72% so far.
币界数据显示，截至北京时间6月18日21时，虚拟货币合约一日内共爆仓近20亿元人民币，波及6万人，其中最大单笔爆仓高达2868万元。
Monetary data show that, as at 2100 hours Beijing time on 18 June, the virtual currency contract had exploded by almost 2 billion yuan in a single day, reaching 60,000 people, of which the largest single-bull explosion was 28.6 million yuan.
图片来源：币界
Source: Currency border.
币安数据显示，截至6月18日21时，比特币价格报19181美元，较上一个交易日下跌近9%。
Currency security data show that, as at 2100 hours on 18 June, Bitcoin prices stood at $19181, down by almost 9 per cent from the date of the previous transaction.
图片来源：币安
Image source: MoneyAnn
根据CoinGecko的价格数据，虚拟货币总市值已跌破9000亿美元，目前为8864.4亿美元，24小时交易量为74924271393美元。当前比特币市值占比为41.7%。最近一个月，市值排名前100的虚拟货币中，有多达72种币从历史高点下跌了90%以上。
According to CoinGecko's price data, the total market value of the virtual currency has fallen by $900 billion, currently $8,866.4 billion, with 24-hour transactions amounting to $749,247,193. The current market value of Bitcoins is 41.7 per cent. In the last month, as many as 72 of the top 100 virtual currencies have fallen from their historical heights by more than 90 per cent.
比特币进入至暗时刻
Glassnode分析指出，比特币市场已进入一个与过去最深、最黑暗的熊市周期相吻合的阶段，并且链上交易量基本面正进一步恶化。从历史上看，随着市场最终触底，这一阶段大约需要8-24个月才能过去。
Glassnode analyses that the Bitcoin market has entered a phase that coincides with the deepest and darkest bear cycle of the past, and that the fundamentals of the volume of transactions on the chain are deteriorating further. Historically, this phase will take about 8 to 24 months as the market finally hits the bottom.
市场对于下跌的原因众说纷纭，欧易研究院指出，影响近期行情下行的因素有很多，其中主要因素之一是美国CPI指数创下了40年来的新高，超出了市场预期，且美联储加息对于虚拟货币市场意味着资金流出，币价的持续下跌便是体现。第二因素是某机构爆雷，大量抛售stETH币（stETH即“Lido Stake Ethereum”，是专门为用户提供以太币流动性质押服务的项目），导致以太坊币价暴跌，进而引发连环崩盘。
The reasons for this decline are widely shared, and the European Institute points out that one of the main factors influencing the recent downturn is that the United States CPI index has reached a 40-year high, exceeding market expectations, and that the Fed's interest hikes mean capital outflows for the virtual currency market, as evidenced by the continuing fall in currency prices. The second factor is the explosion of an institution and the large-scale sale of stETH (the stETH, “Lido Stake Etherum,” a project that specializes in the provision of money-mobile pledge services to users, leading to a sharp fall in prices in the same currency, which in turn triggers a spiral.
中国移动通信联合会元宇宙产业委员会执行主任于佳宁对记者表示，根据此前的经验，上一轮牛市的高点（19798美元）是比较关键的支撑位。因为此前在比特币的牛熊转换周期中，熊市的底部从未跌破上一轮牛市的高点。如果再从19798美元的位置破位下行，则很多历史规律都会失效，市场可能会出现进一步大幅回撤。
The Executive Director of the China Mobile Communications Federation's Won cosmopolitan committee, Janin, told journalists that, based on previous experience, the peak of the last round of the bull market (US$ 19798) was the more critical support. Since the bottom of the bear city never fell to the top of the last round during the Bitcoin conversion cycle, many of the historical patterns would lapse and the market would likely undergo a further sharp retreat.
矿机开机就亏钱
严重依赖币价的矿工也损失惨重，不少矿圈人士“叫苦连天”。
Miners who are heavily dependent on currency prices also lose a lot of money, and many in the ring are “suffering”.
一位矿工对记者表示，随着虚拟货币价格暴跌，矿机厂商的出货量和营业收入受到巨大影响。
A miner told journalists that, with the fall in virtual currency prices, the volume and operating income of the miners had been significantly affected.
浙江大学国际联合商学院数字经济与金融创新研究中心联席主任、研究员盘和林表示，因为比特币是很多其他虚拟货币的发行保证，所以其他虚拟货币也必然遭遇连锁反应大幅度下跌。另外，矿圈的情况目前还不明朗，主要看矿工挖矿的实际成本，当矿工入不敷出的时候，矿圈停产将成为常态。
The co-director of the Center for Research on Digital Economy and Financial Innovation of the United Business School of Zhejiang University, Research Fellows and Lin, said that because Bitcoin is a guarantee for the distribution of many other virtual currencies, other virtual currencies are bound to suffer a sharp drop in chain reactions. Moreover, the situation in the ring is still unclear, depending mainly on the actual cost of mining by miners, and when the miners cannot afford it, it will become normal.
F2pool数据显示，随着比特币跌破20000美元，按照0.4元/度的电费并基于当前挖矿难度计算，包括神马M21、阿瓦隆1066 Pro在内的大部分矿机已达到关机价格（挖矿的成本价），即开机就亏损。此外，蚂蚁T17、蚂蚁T17e、阿瓦隆1146 Pro等矿机目前已接近关机币价。
F2pool data show that, with Bitcoin falling by $20,000, most of the mine units, including M21, Avalon 1066 Pro, have reached the closing price (cost of mining), i.e., the opening loss. In addition, ants T17, ants T17e, Avalon 1146 Pro, etc., are now close to closing the price.
图片来源：F2pool
Image by F2pool
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